District report card · CMAS 2024–2026

Douglas County Re 1Draft

Large suburban district · about 15,654 students tested a year in grades 3–8 · 43,658 students in district-run schools (K–12)
+3.7
points vs. what its
demographics predict

Based on its families’ demographics, Douglas County Re 1 would be expected to rank #9 of 105 Colorado districts, with 58% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 49% in math. It actually ranks #6, with 61% and 54%. That is 3.7 percentage points above what its demographics predict, which ranks it #24 of 105 on performance vs. demographics.

#24 of 105 statewide · likely #20–#30#3 of 21 large districts#3 of 17 suburban districts#1 of 9 among its most similar districts

Where demographics would place it, and where it lands

Statewide rank, English and math combined
Hollow: predicted from demographics. Filled: actual results. #1 is the highest share of students meeting expectations.
#1 (best)#25#50#75#105Predicted #9Actual #6
SubjectExpectedActualOver/under (pts)Rank: predicted → actualRank vs. demographics
English58%61%+3.0 ±0.7#7 → #7#29
Math49%54%+4.5 ±1.8#10 → #4#23

Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.

Over time

Met or exceeded expectations, by year
Dashed: expected from demographics.
40%50%60%70%202420252026English 62%Math 55%
Growth
CDE median growth percentile, 2024–2026: how much students improved compared with students statewide who started at the same level. 50 is typical.
English growth
53
median growth percentile
Math growth
53
median growth percentile

Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.

Compared with its most similar districts

Over/under, percentage points (English and math)
The eight districts closest on parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education and size. Blue: above prediction; red: below; gray: within normal swings. Lines: 90% range.
Douglas County Re 1+3.7Poudre R-1+2.9St Vrain Valley RE1J+2.2Littleton 6+2.1Academy 20+1.9Boulder Valley Re 2+0.8Jefferson County R-1−0.9Cherry Creek 5−2.6Thompson R2-J−7.0

Who it serves

The measures behind the prediction
Bars: this district. Black tick: Colorado average across ranked districts, weighted by students.
Parents with a bachelor’s degree+67%Free/reduced-price lunch17%English learners6%Students with IEPs15%

Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 61%; median household income $145,864.

Its schools

Neighborhood schools
Compared with Colorado schools serving similar students (income and education of the area, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education). Points are CMAS scale-score points vs. expected, 2024–2026.
SchoolMet/exceeded
Eng / Math
Vs. expected
English
Vs. expected
Math
Growth
Eldorado Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–575% / 76%+10.2+14.062
Heritage Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–576% / 73%+11.7+10.862
Redstone Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–579% / 74%+11.6+10.858
Northridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–576% / 67%+12.9+9.062
Stone Mountain ElementaryElementary · grades 3–578% / 85%+6.0+14.461
Gold Rush ElementaryElementary · grades 3–575% / 75%+8.7+7.256
Wildcat Mountain Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–573% / 67%+8.4+6.864
Bear Canyon Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–576% / 68%+8.4+5.263
Pioneer Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–559% / 55%+6.2+6.952
Trailblazer Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–567% / 65%+5.7+6.957
Pine Lane ElementaryElementary · grades 3–552% / 54%+2.3+8.658
Cougar Run Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–572% / 59%+7.1+3.059
Timber Trail Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–576% / 75%+2.4+5.057
Buffalo Ridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–571% / 69%+1.4+5.848
Eagle Ridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–555% / 51%+3.9+3.354
Sand Creek Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–558% / 53%−0.2+4.752
Saddle Ranch Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–564% / 60%+0.3+2.655
Prairie Crossing Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–569% / 67%−1.1+2.764
Lone Tree ElementaryElementary · grades 3–575% / 70%+0.3+1.169
Coyote Creek Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–567% / 63%−0.8+1.460
Mammoth Heights ElementaryElementary · grades 3–557% / 51%+0.3+0.359
Iron Horse Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–564% / 49%+2.0−1.554
Summit View Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–565% / 63%0.0+0.356
Arrowwood Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–561% / 52%+0.30.059
Northeast Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–566% / 60%0.0−0.161
South Ridge Elementary An IB World SchoolElementary · grades 3–541% / 31%+1.1−3.749
Soaring Hawk Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–561% / 50%−0.2−3.360
Flagstone Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–563% / 58%−4.1−0.164
Roxborough IntermediateElementary · grades 3–559% / 58%−4.4−0.254
Franktown Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–564% / 60%−2.7−2.752
Castle Rock Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–550% / 44%−3.1−2.954
Fox Creek Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–563% / 53%−2.2−4.959
Acres Green Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–539% / 40%−6.5−1.157
Sage Canyon ElementaryElementary · grades 3–558% / 59%−7.6−2.852
Frontier Valley Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–557% / 55%−8.6−1.942
Cherokee Trail Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–545% / 39%−5.7−5.151
Legacy Point Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–552% / 51%−6.6−4.746
Copper Mesa Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–557% / 58%−8.2−3.663
Pine Grove Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–554% / 60%−9.2−3.162
Meadow View Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–552% / 46%−7.0−7.255
Sedalia Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–538% / 29%−6.5−8.450
Clear Sky ElementaryElementary · grades 3–551% / 48%−9.6−7.560
Larkspur Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–552% / 45%−7.2−10.962
Rock Ridge Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–546% / 40%−9.7−9.854
Heritage Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–888% / 70%+19.0+15.1—
Bear Canyon Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–884% / 63%+25.5+8.1—
Stone Mountain ElementaryMiddle · grades 6–888% / 77%+17.7+15.0—
Eldorado Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–880% / 65%+16.5+14.1—
Northridge Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–881% / 60%+19.4+9.6—
Lone Tree ElementaryMiddle · grades 6–880% / 81%+11.7+17.4—
Sand Creek Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–866% / 60%+12.1+16.2—
Cougar Run Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–876% / 62%+11.5+10.3—
Saddle Ranch Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–875% / 68%+9.3+11.8—
Coyote Creek Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–875% / 65%+10.5+10.5—
Summit View Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–881% / 61%+13.1+6.9—
Eagle Ridge Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–863% / 61%+7.7+11.7—
Mammoth Heights ElementaryMiddle · grades 6–860% / 60%+5.4+11.6—
Pine Grove Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–876% / 62%+8.6+7.9—
Acres Green Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–846% / 49%+5.1+11.3—
Trailblazer Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–869% / 59%+6.9+9.3—
Pine Lane ElementaryMiddle · grades 6–854% / 45%+6.5+9.6—
Soaring Hawk Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–869% / 54%+7.2+8.2—
Flagstone Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–874% / 57%+6.9+8.1—
Prairie Crossing Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–872% / 68%+5.0+9.7—
Fox Creek Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–873% / 52%+8.8+4.8—
Clear Sky ElementaryMiddle · grades 6–862% / 53%+5.7+7.3—
Copper Mesa Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–868% / 62%+4.1+8.7—
Cherokee Trail Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–862% / 38%+8.5+3.2—
Arrowwood Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–862% / 43%+6.2+3.4—
Cresthill Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–861% / 53%+1.3+5.945
Castle Rock Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–853% / 37%+5.7+0.8—
Mountain Ridge Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–871% / 59%+4.8+1.239
Meadow View Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–865% / 40%+5.5−2.1—
Rocky Heights Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–871% / 61%−0.1+1.649
Larkspur Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–8— / 49%—+0.7—
Ranch View Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–866% / 56%+0.6+0.845
Roxborough IntermediateMiddle · grades 6–864% / 43%+2.5−3.7—
Sierra Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–851% / 42%−2.9−0.539
Cimarron MiddleMiddle · grades 6–861% / 44%−0.8−5.748
Rock Ridge Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–845% / 35%−5.9−1.4—
Sedalia Elementary SchoolMiddle · grades 6–833% / 25%−2.1−6.8—
Castle Rock Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–851% / 39%−5.2−5.342
Mesa Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–852% / 34%−4.1−7.645
Sagewood Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–853% / 39%−7.4−9.045
Not compared with neighborhood schools
Charter, choice, magnet, online and alternative schools don’t serve a neighborhood, so they aren’t compared with schools serving similar areas. Charter and online schools are also left out of the district results above.

How to read this

The expected result comes from a statistical model fit across all ranked Colorado districts: parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners and special education explain about 90% of the differences in district results. Over/under is what remains — the part the demographics don’t account for, which includes the schools themselves but also anything else those measures miss. Each district’s expected value is predicted from the other districts. Full method and caveats.