District report card · CMAS 2024–2026

School District 27JDraft

Large suburban district · about 6,940 students tested a year in grades 3–8 · 16,319 students in district-run schools (K–12)
−3.8
points vs. what its
demographics predict

Based on its families’ demographics, School District 27J would be expected to rank #63 of 105 Colorado districts, with 36% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 28% in math. It actually ranks #68, with 32% and 24%. That is 3.8 percentage points below what its demographics predict, which ranks it #67 of 105 on performance vs. demographics.

#67 of 105 statewide · likely #54–#77#20 of 21 large districts#11 of 17 suburban districts#8 of 9 among its most similar districts

Where demographics would place it, and where it lands

Statewide rank, English and math combined
Hollow: predicted from demographics. Filled: actual results. #1 is the highest share of students meeting expectations.
#1 (best)#25#50#75#105Predicted #63Actual #68
SubjectExpectedActualOver/under (pts)Rank: predicted → actualRank vs. demographics
English36%32%−3.8 ±2.1#65 → #71#68
Math28%24%−3.8 ±2.2#61 → #64#65

Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.

Over time

Met or exceeded expectations, by year
Dashed: expected from demographics.
10%20%30%40%50%202420252026English 34%Math 26%
Growth
CDE median growth percentile, 2024–2026: how much students improved compared with students statewide who started at the same level. 50 is typical.
English growth
45
median growth percentile
Math growth
45
median growth percentile

Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.

Compared with its most similar districts

Over/under, percentage points (English and math)
The eight districts closest on parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education and size. Blue: above prediction; red: below; gray: within normal swings. Lines: 90% range.
Denver County 1+5.3Greeley 6+0.2Garfield Re-2−0.2Colorado Springs 11−0.3Weld County RE-1−0.9Weld Re-8 Schools−1.7Adams 12 Five Star Schools−2.1School District 27J−3.8Fort Morgan Re-3−4.9

Who it serves

The measures behind the prediction
Bars: this district. Black tick: Colorado average across ranked districts, weighted by students.
Parents with a bachelor’s degree+30%Free/reduced-price lunch52%English learners22%Students with IEPs13%

Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 31%; median household income $125,823.

Its schools

Neighborhood schools
Compared with Colorado schools serving similar students (income and education of the area, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education). Points are CMAS scale-score points vs. expected, 2024–2026.
SchoolMet/exceeded
Eng / Math
Vs. expected
English
Vs. expected
Math
Growth
South Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–523% / 16%+7.4+2.352
Northeast Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–519% / 17%+2.6+3.653
Elaine S. Padilla Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–538% / 34%+0.1+1.553
Southeast Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–524% / 17%+1.9−1.445
Mary E Pennock Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–535% / 32%−1.5+0.345
Brantner Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–547% / 42%−1.2−0.663
Second Creek Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–534% / 27%−0.5−1.948
Henderson Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–524% / 23%−0.4−2.956
West Ridge ElementaryElementary · grades 3–545% / 45%−5.1−0.734
Reunion Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–552% / 42%−1.6−5.646
John W Thimmig Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–531% / 23%−3.9−5.553
Turnberry ElementaryElementary · grades 3–527% / 24%−9.9−9.943
Vikan Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–820% / 16%−5.4−0.938
Prairie View Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–828% / 18%−6.4−5.746
Overland Trail Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–818% / 8%−7.2−5.840
Rodger Quist Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–836% / 25%−10.6−11.849
Otho E Stuart Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–826% / 11%−11.4−16.635
Not compared with neighborhood schools
Charter, choice, magnet, online and alternative schools don’t serve a neighborhood, so they aren’t compared with schools serving similar areas. Charter and online schools are also left out of the district results above.

How to read this

The expected result comes from a statistical model fit across all ranked Colorado districts: parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners and special education explain about 90% of the differences in district results. Over/under is what remains — the part the demographics don’t account for, which includes the schools themselves but also anything else those measures miss. Each district’s expected value is predicted from the other districts. Full method and caveats.