District report card · CMAS 2024–2026

Roaring Fork RE-1Draft

Mid-size town district · about 1,949 students tested a year in grades 3–8 · 4,991 students in district-run schools (K–12)
−10.1
points vs. what its
demographics predict

Based on its families’ demographics, Roaring Fork RE-1 would be expected to rank #32 of 105 Colorado districts, with 44% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 38% in math. It actually ranks #58, with 34% and 28%. That is 10.1 percentage points below what its demographics predict, which ranks it #89 of 105 on performance vs. demographics.

#89 of 105 statewide · likely #82–#95#42 of 49 mid-size districts#22 of 28 town districts#8 of 9 among its most similar districts

Where demographics would place it, and where it lands

Statewide rank, English and math combined
Hollow: predicted from demographics. Filled: actual results. #1 is the highest share of students meeting expectations.
#1 (best)#25#50#75#105Predicted #32Actual #58
SubjectExpectedActualOver/under (pts)Rank: predicted → actualRank vs. demographics
English44%34%−9.9 ±1.7#34 → #59#88
Math38%28%−10.3 ±3.2#27 → #55#88

Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.

Over time

Met or exceeded expectations, by year
Dashed: expected from demographics.
10%20%30%40%50%202420252026English 35%Math 31%
Growth
CDE median growth percentile, 2024–2026: how much students improved compared with students statewide who started at the same level. 50 is typical.
English growth
50
median growth percentile
Math growth
55
median growth percentile

Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.

Compared with its most similar districts

Over/under, percentage points (English and math)
The eight districts closest on parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education and size. Blue: above prediction; red: below; gray: within normal swings. Lines: 90% range.
Denver County 1+5.3Garfield Re-2−0.2Adams 12 Five Star Schools−2.1Summit RE-1−4.2Eagle County RE 50−5.7Mapleton 1−5.8Bennett 29J−10.0Roaring Fork RE-1−10.1Estes Park R-3−10.2

Who it serves

The measures behind the prediction
Bars: this district. Black tick: Colorado average across ranked districts, weighted by students.
Parents with a bachelor’s degree+51%Free/reduced-price lunch52%English learners37%Students with IEPs12%

Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 48%; median household income $101,794.

Its schools

Neighborhood schools
Compared with Colorado schools serving similar students (income and education of the area, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education). Points are CMAS scale-score points vs. expected, 2024–2026.
SchoolMet/exceeded
Eng / Math		Vs. expected
English		Vs. expected
Math		Growth
Basalt Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–549% / 34%+11.5−0.866
Sopris Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–543% / 46%−1.8+2.853
Glenwood Springs Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–528% / 24%−1.4−0.637
Carbondale Middle SchoolElementary · grades 3–538% / 34%−3.9+1.663
Basalt Middle SchoolElementary · grades 3–535% / 26%−0.8−4.346
Riverview SchoolElementary · grades 3–520% / 18%−5.9−4.945
Crystal River Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–530% / 26%−12.8−15.755
Carbondale Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–841% / 35%+5.6+5.657
Riverview SchoolMiddle · grades 6–824% / 22%+3.3+7.457
Basalt Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–834% / 23%+2.4+1.358
Glenwood Springs Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–831% / 20%−0.9−1.350
Not compared with neighborhood schools
Charter, choice, magnet, online and alternative schools don’t serve a neighborhood, so they aren’t compared with schools serving similar areas. Charter and online schools are also left out of the district results above.

How to read this

The expected result comes from a statistical model fit across all ranked Colorado districts: parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners and special education explain about 90% of the differences in district results. Over/under is what remains — the part the demographics don’t account for, which includes the schools themselves but also anything else those measures miss. Each district’s expected value is predicted from the other districts. Full method and caveats.